A few months ago, i found some "advertisements" on the listed company SUNEAST on various online forums and decided to take a closer look on the company's financial reports and news announcements. In early november, I sent out an email to their CFO, with the aim of clearing some of my doubts after doing my own analysis. But unfortunately, till now, no reply has been forthcoming. So much for transparency and investor relations. Below is the entire content of my email.
Hi Ms Jennifer Shum,
As a retail investor, I am currently doing some analysis on Suneast before taking any investment position. While going through the company's financial reports and news announcements, I have the following questions. As such, I hope that you are able to address my doubts.
Q1) The 51% acquisition of NuXD was completed on Feb 2007 for HK$60 million. According to the 2 nd quarter financial results, the group has cash holding of HK$105 million as at 31st Dec 2006. Can you explain why Suneast choose not to use its cash holding for the acquisition but instead opt to undertake a fund raising exercise through the issuance of US$15 million worth of secured floating rate notes to Deutsche Bank and thus incurring an effective interest rate of 13.5% at inception?
Q2) In the 2007 annual report, I have extracted the following statement from the chairman's message from page 4: "The results of its efforts have been very encouraging. Cruiser is today one of the leading ready-to-drink brand in Taiwan. Similarly, since NuXD took over the sales and marketing of Coors Light in 2006, it has become one of the best selling beers in Taiwan's entertainment outlets." Can you provide the evidence from an independent market research firm to back up the above statement?
Q3) Can you justify the need to have a pre-payment of HK$179 million for advertising and promotion activities?
Q4) On page 72 of the annual report, the fair value of the exclusive distribution rights in NuXD is stated to be HK$120 million. Can you explain how Suneast arrived at this figure? Any independent valuation done?
Q5) Suneast obtained an unsecured bank loan of HK$35 million for FY07. As I see it, there is ample cash holding on the balance sheet. Can you justify the need for this bank loan?
Regards
With the above questions in mind, i would not recommend SUNEAST even though the share price is low. One big negative point on the company is that the management has decided to change its business focus just one year into its IPO. I welcome those vested to provide answers to the above questions and convince me why the shares are worth buying.
Sunday, December 30, 2007
Tuesday, December 18, 2007
A proposal to Hotung
I have been a shareholder of hotung for slightly more than a year. But for the past few years, the share price was consistently trading at huge discount to its net asset value. I believe the time is ripe for the management to address this problem. As such, i have sent out an email to Hotung last week outlining my proposal. Below is the entire content of the email.
Dear Management Team of Hotung Investment Holdings Limited,
As a current shareholder of Hotung which is listed in Singapore, I fully appreciate the efforts put in by the management team in the past few years to turn the company around to profitability. For many years the share price of Hotung has not reflected its true value and since fiscal year 2007 is drawing to a close, I would like to take this opportunity to recommend a proposal which the management can consider.
Proposal: To change the trading currency of Hotung shares from USD (United States Dollar) to SGD (Singapore Dollar).
Below are my reasons for the proposal:
1) The USD (United States Dollar) will be on a general downtrend in the foreseeable future due to the various economic problems and interest rate cuts.
2) The change in trading currency will enhance liquidity of the counter as it removes the necessity and cost of foreign exchange conversion. With easier settlement of trades, retail investors, in particular, will find it more convenient to trade in Hotung shares.
3) By denominating the shares in SGD (Singapore Dollar), the potential pool of institutional investors may expand as several funds and insurance companies in Singapore, which are permitted to invest only in SGD-denominated stocks, can now consider Hotung as an investment option.
In reality, there are many factors that caused Hotung's share price to stay low which we may not know of. However, for a start, the management can take a pro-active step to improve the conditions and reduce the uncertain variables on which the shares are traded. In my humble opinion, a change of trading currency is the way forward at this moment.
Yours sincerely
Dear Management Team of Hotung Investment Holdings Limited,
As a current shareholder of Hotung which is listed in Singapore, I fully appreciate the efforts put in by the management team in the past few years to turn the company around to profitability. For many years the share price of Hotung has not reflected its true value and since fiscal year 2007 is drawing to a close, I would like to take this opportunity to recommend a proposal which the management can consider.
Proposal: To change the trading currency of Hotung shares from USD (United States Dollar) to SGD (Singapore Dollar).
Below are my reasons for the proposal:
1) The USD (United States Dollar) will be on a general downtrend in the foreseeable future due to the various economic problems and interest rate cuts.
2) The change in trading currency will enhance liquidity of the counter as it removes the necessity and cost of foreign exchange conversion. With easier settlement of trades, retail investors, in particular, will find it more convenient to trade in Hotung shares.
3) By denominating the shares in SGD (Singapore Dollar), the potential pool of institutional investors may expand as several funds and insurance companies in Singapore, which are permitted to invest only in SGD-denominated stocks, can now consider Hotung as an investment option.
In reality, there are many factors that caused Hotung's share price to stay low which we may not know of. However, for a start, the management can take a pro-active step to improve the conditions and reduce the uncertain variables on which the shares are traded. In my humble opinion, a change of trading currency is the way forward at this moment.
Yours sincerely
Wednesday, December 12, 2007
TAX CUTS EXPLAINED (Just for laughs)
Let's put tax cuts in terms everyone can understand. Suppose that every day, ten men go out for beer and the bill for all ten comes to $100.
If they paid their bill the way we pay our taxes, it would go something like this:
The first four men (the poorest) would pay nothing.
The fifth would pay $1.
The sixth would pay $3.
The seventh would pay $7.
The eighth would pay $12.
The ninth would pay $18.
The tenth man (the richest) would pay $59.
So, that's what they decided to do.
The ten men drank in the bar every day and seemed quite happy with the arrangement, until one day, the owner threw them a curve. "Because you are all such good customers," he said, "I'm going to reduce the cost of your daily beer by $20." Drinks for the ten now cost just $80. The group still wanted to pay their bill the way we pay our taxes so the first four men were unaffected. They would still drink for free. But what about the other six men - the paying customers? How could they divide the $20 windfall so that everyone would get his 'fair share?' They realized that $20 divided by six is $3.33. But if they subtracted that from everybody's share, then the fifth man and the sixth man would each end up being paid to drink his beer.
So, the bar owner suggested that it would be fair to reduce each man's bill by roughly the same amount, and he proceeded to work out the amounts each should pay.
And so:
The fifth man, like the first four, now paid nothing (100% savings).
The sixth now paid $2 instead of $3 (33% savings).
The seventh now pay $5 instead of $7 (28% savings).
The eighth now paid $9 instead of $12 (25% savings).
The ninth now paid $14 instead of $18 (22% savings).
The tenth now paid $49 instead of $59 (16% savings).
Each of the six was better off than before. And the first four continued to drink for free. But once outside the restaurant, the men began to compare their savings.
"I only got a dollar out of the $20," declared the sixth man. He pointed to the tenth man," but he got $10!"
"Yeah, that's right," exclaimed the fifth man. "I only saved a dollar, too. It's unfair that he got ten times more than I!"
"That's true!!" shouted the seventh man. "Why should he get $10 back when I got only two? The wealthy get all the breaks!"
"Wait a minute," yelled the first four men in unison. "We didn't get anything at all. The system exploits the poor!"
The nine men surrounded the tenth and beat him up.
The next night the tenth man didn't show up for drinks, so the nine sat down and had beers without him. But when it came time to pay the bill, they discovered something important. They didn't have enough money between all of them for even half of the bill!
And that, boys and girls, journalists and college professors, is how our tax system works. The people who pay the highest taxes get the most benefit from a tax reduction. Tax them too much, attack them for being wealthy, and they just may not show up anymore. In fact, they might start drinking overseas where the atmosphere is somewhat friendlier.
For those who understand, no explanation is needed.
For those who do not understand, no explanation is possible.
If they paid their bill the way we pay our taxes, it would go something like this:
The first four men (the poorest) would pay nothing.
The fifth would pay $1.
The sixth would pay $3.
The seventh would pay $7.
The eighth would pay $12.
The ninth would pay $18.
The tenth man (the richest) would pay $59.
So, that's what they decided to do.
The ten men drank in the bar every day and seemed quite happy with the arrangement, until one day, the owner threw them a curve. "Because you are all such good customers," he said, "I'm going to reduce the cost of your daily beer by $20." Drinks for the ten now cost just $80. The group still wanted to pay their bill the way we pay our taxes so the first four men were unaffected. They would still drink for free. But what about the other six men - the paying customers? How could they divide the $20 windfall so that everyone would get his 'fair share?' They realized that $20 divided by six is $3.33. But if they subtracted that from everybody's share, then the fifth man and the sixth man would each end up being paid to drink his beer.
So, the bar owner suggested that it would be fair to reduce each man's bill by roughly the same amount, and he proceeded to work out the amounts each should pay.
And so:
The fifth man, like the first four, now paid nothing (100% savings).
The sixth now paid $2 instead of $3 (33% savings).
The seventh now pay $5 instead of $7 (28% savings).
The eighth now paid $9 instead of $12 (25% savings).
The ninth now paid $14 instead of $18 (22% savings).
The tenth now paid $49 instead of $59 (16% savings).
Each of the six was better off than before. And the first four continued to drink for free. But once outside the restaurant, the men began to compare their savings.
"I only got a dollar out of the $20," declared the sixth man. He pointed to the tenth man," but he got $10!"
"Yeah, that's right," exclaimed the fifth man. "I only saved a dollar, too. It's unfair that he got ten times more than I!"
"That's true!!" shouted the seventh man. "Why should he get $10 back when I got only two? The wealthy get all the breaks!"
"Wait a minute," yelled the first four men in unison. "We didn't get anything at all. The system exploits the poor!"
The nine men surrounded the tenth and beat him up.
The next night the tenth man didn't show up for drinks, so the nine sat down and had beers without him. But when it came time to pay the bill, they discovered something important. They didn't have enough money between all of them for even half of the bill!
And that, boys and girls, journalists and college professors, is how our tax system works. The people who pay the highest taxes get the most benefit from a tax reduction. Tax them too much, attack them for being wealthy, and they just may not show up anymore. In fact, they might start drinking overseas where the atmosphere is somewhat friendlier.
For those who understand, no explanation is needed.
For those who do not understand, no explanation is possible.
Tuesday, December 4, 2007
Share buybacks
The following are some of the benefits of share buybacks.
1) They will allow Singapore companies to compete on more equal terms in international financial markets with foreign companies which are able to repurchase their shares.
2) Companies with excess cash can quickly and efficiently solve the problem by returning the excess funds to the shareholders.
3) A share repurchase by a listed company may have the effect of increasing the market price of the company's shares.
4) A share repurchase may promote a competitive price environment which will help to reduce uneconomic takeover activity by allowing a potential target company to quickly adjust to its debt equity ratio.
5) A share repurchase may allow a listed company to acquire small shareholdings, such as 'odd-lots', thus reducing the company's administrative overheads and allowing the relevant shareholders to sell without incurring material transaction costs.
6) A share repurchase may be useful in allowing companies to resolve disputes with dissenting members.
7) A share repurchase gives the company flexibility in setting or fine-tuning its capital structure.
Under Singapore law, no treasury stocks are allowed. Shares purchased or acquired are deemed cancelled and the rights and privileges attached to those cancelled shares expire.
Lastly, if the company is doing a share buyback, you can be sure that the company won’t go bankrupt in the next 6 months or so. It is against the law for an insolvent company to do a share buyback!
1) They will allow Singapore companies to compete on more equal terms in international financial markets with foreign companies which are able to repurchase their shares.
2) Companies with excess cash can quickly and efficiently solve the problem by returning the excess funds to the shareholders.
3) A share repurchase by a listed company may have the effect of increasing the market price of the company's shares.
4) A share repurchase may promote a competitive price environment which will help to reduce uneconomic takeover activity by allowing a potential target company to quickly adjust to its debt equity ratio.
5) A share repurchase may allow a listed company to acquire small shareholdings, such as 'odd-lots', thus reducing the company's administrative overheads and allowing the relevant shareholders to sell without incurring material transaction costs.
6) A share repurchase may be useful in allowing companies to resolve disputes with dissenting members.
7) A share repurchase gives the company flexibility in setting or fine-tuning its capital structure.
Under Singapore law, no treasury stocks are allowed. Shares purchased or acquired are deemed cancelled and the rights and privileges attached to those cancelled shares expire.
Lastly, if the company is doing a share buyback, you can be sure that the company won’t go bankrupt in the next 6 months or so. It is against the law for an insolvent company to do a share buyback!
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