Friday, September 4, 2009

Heads you win. Tails I lose!!!

I have to interupt the dummies posting with this latest development from one of the S-chip companies. The majority owner of China Precision has decided to take the company private by offering S$0.28 to buy back all existing shares it does not not own. I am not a stakeholder in China Precision. Nevertheless, ALL MINORITY SHAREHOLDERS SHOULD REJECT THIS OFFER!

Why do I say that? Below are some reasons which i believe will support my view.

1) The company's IPO took place in May 2006 at a price of S$0.30. The exit offer is at a discount of 6.7%. This means that shareholders who held on to the shares since IPO will make a loss (lets exclude the dividends for the time being).

2) As of the latest financial report ending 30th June 2009, the net asset value (NAV) of the company is S$0.32 per share. Based on this, the exit offer is at a discount of 12.5%.

3) Currently, China Precision does not have any bank borrowings. Thus, the assets mainly consist of cash, property and plant equipment. It has RMB 143 million of cash which translate to a cash backing of S$0.08 per share. In short, the majority owner is only paying S$0.20 for the whole business.

4) For HY2009, the company made earnings of RMB 9 cents for each share. Using the exchange rate of S$1:4.5 RMB, the EPS is S$0.02. Assuming the EPS does not change, we will have S$0.04 for the whole year. Setting the exit offer at S$0.20 (minus the cash backing) means that the business is only valued at a forward P/E of 5X (Isn't that cheap?).

I will be looking forward to the response from the independent directors and the appointed financial adviser on this exit offer. Its time for shareholders to sit up and vote wisely.

1 comment:

Musicwhiz said...

An example of the majority shareholders "ripping off" the minorities?

They aren't even offering a fair price - as evidenced by your analysis of NAV, EPS and their Balance Sheet. Sad but true.

Musicwhiz